制裁遏北韓核武 專家認為時已晚

制裁遏北韓核武 專家認為時已晚

2017-08-02 15:15中央社 華盛頓1日綜合外電報導

北韓7月28日發動當月第2次的洲際彈道飛彈(ICBM)試射。專家認為,這顯示北韓取得成熟、能以核武打擊美國任何地方的ICBM,只是時間問題,現在再祭制裁可能為時已晚。

彭博(Bloomberg News)報導,分析家表示,北韓的經濟保持成長,且平壤當局投入其核子計畫超過初創時的成本,使得遏止其財政已變得沒有效果。

這將讓美國總統川普的選擇受限,採取軍事打擊則可能為朝鮮半島帶來毀滅性後果。在此同時,美國也絕不會為讓金正恩重回談判桌而做出讓步。

寫有數本有關北韓著作的首爾「國民大學」(Kookmin University)韓國研究教授蘭科夫(Andrei Lankov)說:「再多的制裁都擋不了金正恩想取得ICBM;只要金氏家族還掌權,他們也很可能還能掌權很久,非核化就不可能達成,就是這樣。」

中國大陸憂心一旦金氏政權垮台,會導致難民危機和美軍陳兵中韓邊界。即便大陸與北韓近期關係冰冷,大陸仍占北韓總貿易約90%。

儘管遭國際制裁,北韓經濟似乎還是表現不俗。據南韓中央銀行表示,北韓2016年的經濟成長率3.9%,是17年來成長最快的一年。大陸海關的資料顯示,今年大陸與北韓間貿易仍活躍,大陸對北韓在今年前6個月有貿易逆差,顯示北韓手頭有現金可以購買貨品。

南韓慶南大學(Kyungnam University)「國際合作因應北韓發展中心」戰略計畫主任林乙哲(Lim Eul-chul,音譯)說:「若相信北韓需要數十億美元才能發展核武與飛彈,那就太可笑了;他們根本不付本國科學家太多錢,也能在國內製造大部分武器零件。」

美國密德伯里大學蒙特雷國際研究學院(Middlebury Institute of International Studies atMonterey)東亞禁核擴散計畫(East AsiaNon proliferation Program)主任路易斯(Jeffrey Lewis)認為,北韓目前的核武能力相當於美蘇1960、1970年代的水準。

國際危機組織(International Crisis Group)東北亞資深顧問柯夫瑞吉(Michael Kovrig)說:「加緊制裁只能放緩但不能阻止平壤的進程,北韓政權可能視核子嚇阻為其生存的必要因素,且很可能寧願、也能夠承受極端的困難,也不改變主意。」

北韓上月28日發動洲際彈道飛彈試射。專家認為,這顯示北韓取得成熟、能以核武打擊美...
北韓上月28日發動洲際彈道飛彈試射。專家認為,這顯示北韓取得成熟、能以核武打擊美國任何地方的ICBM,只是時間問題,現在再祭制裁可能為時已晚。美聯社

Asteroid Photobomb! Space Rocks Invade Hubble Galaxy View

Asteroid Photobomb! Space Rocks Invade Hubble Galaxy View

Interloping asteroids snuck into a stunning Hubble Space Telescope image of a distant galaxy cluster, painting S-trails across the foreground of a truly cosmic view.

The Hubble telescope was looking at Abell 370 – a complex of several hundred galaxies linked together by gravity and located 4 billion light-years away — when seven faint asteroids (five of which had never been seen before) moved across the field of view.

Multiple Hubble exposures are typically combined into one image, so the asteroids appear in 20 separate sightings. The space rocks were, on average, about 160 million miles (260 million kilometers) from Earth — nearly five times farther away than Mars at its closest point. (The nearest distance between Earth and Mars is 33.9 million miles, or 54.6 million kilometers.) [The Most Amazing Hubble Telescope Discoveries]

“The asteroid trails look curved due to an observational effect called parallax. As Hubble orbits around Earth, an asteroid will appear to move along an arc with respect to the vastly more distant background stars and galaxies,” read a statement from the Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI), which manages Hubble observations.

Photobombing asteroids paint S-trails across the galaxy cluster Abell 370 in this amazing composite image from the Hubble Space Telescope. Seven asteroids created 20 trails in this view when they crossed Hubble's field of view during multiple exposures of the galaxy cluster.

Photobombing asteroids paint S-trails across the galaxy cluster Abell 370 in this amazing composite image from the Hubble Space Telescope. Seven asteroids created 20 trails in this view when they crossed Hubble’s field of view during multiple exposures of the galaxy cluster.

Credit: NASA, ESA, and STScI

“This parallax effect is somewhat similar to the effect you see from a moving car, in which trees by the side of the road appear to be passing by much more rapidly than background objects at much larger distances,” STScI officials explained in the same statement. “The motion of Earth around the sun, and the motion of the asteroids along their orbits, are other contributing factors to the apparent skewing of asteroid paths.”

Each asteroid was found manually by “blinking” images (quickly moving between different images of the same field of view) to look for asteroid motion. The arcs of the asteroid motions are distinct from separate arcs of blue light, which represent distorted images of galaxies that are behind the cluster. (The light from these galaxies is bent by dark matter, scientists said.)

Asteroid trails are visible in this view from the Hubble Space Telescope taken from the Frontier Fields survey, which contains thousands of galaxies. While there are 20 asteroid trails, only seven are unique objects; the remainder are repeats caused by multiple exposures.

Asteroid trails are visible in this view from the Hubble Space Telescope taken from the Frontier Fields survey, which contains thousands of galaxies. While there are 20 asteroid trails, only seven are unique objects; the remainder are repeats caused by multiple exposures.

Credit: NASA, ESA, and B. Sunnquist and J. Mack (STScI)

“This picture was assembled from images taken in visible and infrared light,” STScI officials added in the statement. “The field’s position on the sky is near the ecliptic, the plane of our solar system. This is the zone in which most asteroids reside, which is why Hubble astronomers saw so many crossings. Hubble deep-sky observations taken along a line-of-sight near the plane of our solar system commonly record asteroid trails.”

Follow us @SpacedotcomFacebook and Google+. Original article on Space.com

古夫金字塔內發現新的未知巨大空間

古夫金字塔內發現新的未知巨大空間


埃及吉薩金字塔群中最大的古夫金字塔。(圖/美聯社)

2017年11月02日 22:28 中時 王嘉源

據共同社報導,日本名古屋大學等參加的國際研究團隊在2日英國《自然》雜誌網絡版上發布消息稱,發現位於埃及首都開羅近郊的世界最大石砌建築古夫金字塔內部存在未知的巨大空間。考古專家指出「這也有可能是王的墓室」,人們期待新發現將有助於弄清存在諸多謎團的金字塔結構。

該團隊去年曾發現金字塔北側存在未知空間,但此次發現的空間更大且更接近中心。團隊成員之一的名古屋大學特任助教森島邦博(粒子物理學)表示:「尚不清楚空間的詳細結構和用途,但將成為弄清金字塔建造方法等的線索。」

共同社引據該團隊介紹稱,新確認的空間全長超過30公尺。位於與中心附近的「國王室」相連的被稱為「大走廊」的空間上方,距離地面60~70公尺高。空間截面積大小據稱與寬1~2公尺、高8.6公尺的大走廊幾乎相同。

除名古屋大學外,高能加速器研究機構(位於茨城縣筑波市)和法國的研究者等也參加了該團隊。為了在不破壞金字塔的情況下探究其內部結構,利用源自宇宙射線、具有易穿透物體性質的渺子(μ子),以類似於X光拍片的方式進行透視內部的調查。

名古屋大學在國王室下方的「王后室」和與王后室相連的走廊這兩處,設置了使用特殊膠卷的觀測裝置。從2015年12月開始對穿透膠卷的渺子的方向和數量進行測算,發現渺子飛來的數量比假設不存在空間的情況更多的地點,顯示存在未知空間。

在此之後,高能研在王后室設置的其他觀測裝置,也確認到存在有別於大走廊的空間。而且,法國等研究者從金字塔外側進行調查,據稱也確認了存在同樣的空間。

(中時)